Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000189 0.000211 0.000235 0.000262 0.000293 0.000327 0.000365
2025-01-05 0.000153 0.000183 0.000216 0.000258 0.000307 0.000364 0.000434
2025-01-12 0.000130 0.000163 0.000204 0.000256 0.000323 0.000403 0.000509
2025-01-19 0.000113 0.000149 0.000195 0.000258 0.000340 0.000446 0.000592
2025-01-26 0.000098 0.000135 0.000184 0.000254 0.000350 0.000479 0.000665
2025-02-02 0.000091 0.000130 0.000185 0.000265 0.000381 0.000542 0.000784
2025-02-09 0.000082 0.000123 0.000181 0.000269 0.000401 0.000592 0.000888
2025-02-16 0.000075 0.000116 0.000177 0.000272 0.000419 0.000639 0.000994
2025-02-23 0.000069 0.000109 0.000171 0.000272 0.000432 0.000679 0.001092
2025-03-02 0.000062 0.000101 0.000163 0.000266 0.000437 0.000707 0.001171
2025-03-09 0.000056 0.000095 0.000157 0.000265 0.000447 0.000743 0.001267
2025-03-16 0.000052 0.000090 0.000153 0.000265 0.000459 0.000784 0.001375
2025-03-23 0.000048 0.000086 0.000149 0.000265 0.000473 0.000830 0.001498
2025-03-30 0.000044 0.000080 0.000143 0.000262 0.000479 0.000865 0.001606
2025-04-06 0.000040 0.000076 0.000139 0.000261 0.000492 0.000911 0.001738
2025-04-13 0.000038 0.000073 0.000137 0.000263 0.000508 0.000964 0.001891
2025-04-20 0.000035 0.000068 0.000132 0.000259 0.000513 0.000999 0.002011
2025-04-27 0.000034 0.000068 0.000134 0.000271 0.000550 0.001097 0.002264
2025-05-04 0.000032 0.000066 0.000133 0.000275 0.000572 0.001167 0.002468
2025-05-11 0.000030 0.000064 0.000132 0.000278 0.000591 0.001234 0.002672
2025-05-18 0.000028 0.000061 0.000129 0.000278 0.000603 0.001287 0.002852
2025-05-25 0.000026 0.000058 0.000124 0.000273 0.000605 0.001317 0.002985
2025-06-01 0.000024 0.000055 0.000120 0.000271 0.000614 0.001365 0.003161